The Moon and sleep
It’s a really old belief, and you’d expect someone has looked into it and figured it out by now, right? Well, so far, studies on the issue have had varying and contradicting results. The effects were very rarely estimated with an actual EEG. In some studies women appeared more affected by the moon phase, in others men. In others, there were no significant influences. So how do you avoid having yet another inconclusive study, and show actual statistical relevance?
Well, as any undergrad will tell you – get a bigger sampling size! That’s exactly what scientists did, analyzing the sleep data of overall 1,265 volunteers during 2,097 nights. All in all, that’s over 2 million nights of sleep.
“Investigating this large cohort of test persons and sleep nights, we were unable to replicate previous findings,” states Martin Dresler, neuroscientist at the Max Planck Institute of Psychiatry in Munich, Germany, and the Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour in Nijmegen, Netherlands. “We could not observe a statistical relevant correlation between human sleep and the lunar phases.”
Publication Bias
They then looked onto pre-existing studies, to compare the results, and they found a very interesting thing. While most published studies tended to highlight a connection between the two, they found a lot of unpublished data which came back with negative results. This is probably the result of the so-called publication bias – or the drawer problem.
Basically, what happens is that studies that find a connection are more likely to be published than studies which don’t. So if your study found that the Moon is connected to sleep, it’s more likely to be published than if it hand’t. This is a huge problem in research, especially in medical research. If you conduct trials regarding a drug or a treatment and it works, it’s quite likely to be published. Howeveer, if you do the same thing and it doesn’t work (even if you conduct several trials), the results are much less likely to be accepted into peer reviewed journals. It’s easy to understand why this causes big problems in the long run.
The same thing seems to be happening with the Moon and sleep.
“To overcome the obvious limitations of retrospective data analysis, carefully controlled studies specifically designed for the test of lunar cycle effects on sleep in large samples are required for a definite answer,” comments Dresler.
Source: The Max Planck Institute
