homehome Home chatchat Notifications


Chinese coal consumption just fell for first time this century

We’re used to reporting year after year how China’s coal consumption is increasing and how they are polluting more and more. But this is the first year in over 2 decades when the number hasn’t increased. Could China’s coal boom be over? While positive signs have been emerging from China for well over a year, […]

Mihai Andrei
August 20, 2014 @ 7:08 am

share Share

Sources: Compiled from China National Bureau of Statistics and China National Coal Association statistical releases by RenewEconomy.

We’re used to reporting year after year how China’s coal consumption is increasing and how they are polluting more and more. But this is the first year in over 2 decades when the number hasn’t increased.

Could China’s coal boom be over?

While positive signs have been emerging from China for well over a year, it appears the ‘war on pollution‘ is not just talk. To make things even more interesting, even though the coal consumption didn’t rise any more, the GDP continued to grow (though slower) – that means that coal consumption and GDP appear to have finally decoupled.

The growth of coal imports (mostly from the US) almost stopped, staying at a meager 0.9%, and domestic production dropped by 1.8% – and it’ hard to underestimate just how historic this may be: China’s coal consumption may have finally peaked!

While most analysts were putting Chinese peak coal somewhere around 2020, and others shouted out that China would double its coal consumption by 2030, the Asian country has surprised us again, highlighting once more just how little Western culture understands about China. China’s coal consumption will not grow indefinitely, and while it’s still unclear how fast it will start to drop, it seems pretty obvious that it will do so in the near future.

There are two main competing theories which explain this evolution. The first is that China’s economy is just slowing down, and coal consumption will continue to grow as it rebounds. The problem with this is that while for the first part of the 21st century we witnessed coal consumption and economic growth have basically a similar evolution, in past years there has been a significant decoupling of the two. This means that coal and the economy are not as tightly bonded as they used to be in China.

The second theory, offered by Bloomberg  is also pretty flawed: it claims that the rise in hydro power is responsible for the drop in coal usage. But this increase in hydropower was only capable of changing the coal consumption growth rate by less than one percentage point, which hardly changes the big picture.

It seems clear that China is entering a new age. They seem to finally start to stray away from their fossil fuel intensive industry, and move onto different type of investments – especially in services. If they also do decide to back their words up and shift the economy towards renewable, clean energy, then I believe the next generation will be living alongside a very different China.

share Share

Pluto's Moons and Everything You Didn't Know You Want to Know About Them

Let's get acquainted with the lesser known but still very interesting moons of Pluto.

Japan Is Starting to Use Robots in 7-Eleven Shops to Compensate for the Massive Shortage of Workers

These robots are taking over repetitive jobs and reducing workload as Japan combats a worker crisis.

This Bizarre Martian Rock Formation Is Our Strongest Evidence Yet for Ancient Life on Mars

We can't confirm it yet, but it's as close as it gets.

A small, portable test could revolutionize how we diagnose Alzheimer's

A passive EEG scan could spot memory loss before symptoms begin to show.

Forget the wild-haired savages. Here's what Vikings really looked like

Hollywood has gravely distorted our image.

Is a Plant-Based Diet Really Healthy for Your Dog? This Study Has Surprising Findings

You may need to revisit your dog's diet.

Who Invented Russian Roulette? How a 1937 Short Story Sparked the Deadliest "Game" in Pop Culture

Russian Roulette is deadly game that likely spawned from a work of fiction.

What Do Ancient Egyptian Mummies Smell Like? "Woody", "Spicy" and Even "Sweet"

Scientists used an 'electronic nose' (and good old biological sniffers) to reveal the scents of ancient mummies.

A Massive Seaweed Belt Stretching from Africa to the Caribbean is Changing The Ocean

The Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt hit a record 37.5 million tons this May

Stone Age Atlantis: 8,500-Year-Old Settlements Discovered Beneath Danish Seas

Archaeologists took a deep dive into the Bay of Aarhus to trace how Stone Age people adapted to rising waters.