homehome Home chatchat Notifications


Only half a degree of warming has more than doubled India's risk of fatal heat waves

The poor are disproportionately affected.

Tibi Puiu
June 13, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

share Share

Half a degree Celsius of warming might not seem like much to most people but this was enough to double the risk of deadly heat waves in India according to a recent paper published in Science Advances. The poor were the most vulnerable.

india-heat-waves

Credit: Pixabay.

In May 2016, India saw its most intense heat wave ever in the city of Jaisalmer which registered a blistering 52.4 degrees Celsius (126.32 F). Elsewhere nearby, the southwest Pakistani city of Turbat registered 53.5 degrees C last month (128.3 F) — the hottest temperature ever measured on Earth for the month of May.

“It’s getting hotter, and of course more heat waves are going to kill more people,” climatologist Omid Mazdiyasni of the University of California, Irvine, told the Washington Post.

Mazdiyasni led the team of researchers who looked at half a century of data from the Indian Meteorological Department on temperature, heat waves and heat-related mortality. They expected to see an increase in heat wave intensity but nothing prepared them for the actual results.

Between 1960 and 2009, average temperatures in India rose by more than 0.5 degrees Celsius. That might not sound like a lot but it was enough to increase the probability of an extreme, heat-related mortality event by 146 percent. A heat-related mortality event is a heat wave where more than 100 deaths occur. The number of heat waves themselves increased by 25 percent across India during 1985-2009 compared with the previous 25-year period. That’s on average since areas in the south and west saw as much as 50 percent more heat waves that lasted for more than three or four days.

“Our findings indicate that even moderate increases in mean temperatures may cause great increases in heat-related mortality and support the efforts of governments and international organizations to build up the resilience of these vulnerable regions to more severe heat waves,” the team concluded.

Thousands have died in the most recent 2015 and 2016 heat waves that have been unusually intense. Many of these lives could have been saved if the same warming was experienced in a different, more affluent country. About a quarter of India’s population of 1.25 billion people lives on less than $1.25 a day. There are 300 million people living without electricity let alone air conditioning. It’s these people who are the most vulnerable to heat waves and other extreme weather events brought onto by climate change. By the end of the century, things will only get worse as India is slated for 2.5 to 5.5 degrees Celsius of extra warming.

Meanwhile, citizens are adapting. Heat waves killed 2,500 people in 2015 and ever since local authorities have enacted programs meant at countering extreme temperature events like stocking hospitals with extra water and ice, introducing seven-day weather forecasts or building cool-air shelters on the streets. These measures, however, can be seen in a couple of Indian cities though, covering only a tiny fraction of India’s huge population.

The sad reality is the poor will experience the effect of climate change disproportionately — and not just in India but everywhere around the world. That’s unless swift and firm action is taken. Just half a degree of warming is claiming the lives of thousands, imagine what two degrees of warming will do. Incidentally, no more than 2 degrees Celsius of warming past Industrial Age levels is the state goal of the Paris Agreement — the landmark non-legally binding pact between almost 200 nations meant to keep greenhouse emissions down. The United States under President Trump has announced that it will exit the agreement last week. 

share Share

New Liquid Uranium Rocket Could Halve Trip to Mars

Liquid uranium rockets could make the Red Planet a six-month commute.

Scientists think they found evidence of a hidden planet beyond Neptune and they are calling it Planet Y

A planet more massive than Mercury could be lurking beyond the orbit of Pluto.

People Who Keep Score in Relationships Are More Likely to End Up Unhappy

A 13-year study shows that keeping score in love quietly chips away at happiness.

NASA invented wheels that never get punctured — and you can now buy them

Would you use this type of tire?

Does My Red Look Like Your Red? The Age-Old Question Just Got A Scientific Answer and It Changes How We Think About Color

Scientists found that our brains process colors in surprisingly similar ways.

Why Blue Eyes Aren’t Really Blue: The Surprising Reason Blue Eyes Are Actually an Optical Illusion

What if the piercing blue of someone’s eyes isn’t color at all, but a trick of light?

Meet the Bumpy Snailfish: An Adorable, Newly Discovered Deep Sea Species That Looks Like It Is Smiling

Bumpy, dark, and sleek—three newly described snailfish species reveal a world still unknown.

Scientists Just Found Arctic Algae That Can Move in Ice at –15°C

The algae at the bottom of the world are alive, mobile, and rewriting biology’s rulebook.

A 2,300-Year-Old Helmet from the Punic Wars Pulled From the Sea Tells the Story of the Battle That Made Rome an Empire

An underwater discovery sheds light on the bloody end of the First Punic War.

Scientists Hacked the Glue Gun Design to Print Bone Scaffolds Directly into Broken Legs (And It Works)

Researchers designed a printer to extrude special bone grafts directly into fractures during surgery.